This article outlines the best daily fantasy MLB pivots of the day at every position. We take a comprehensive look to uncover these core recommendations, factoring respective salaries into the analysis.
Please note, these player picks were organized early in the day. For MLB contests, always check lineups and weather closer to game time. Rain, wind, or unexpected managerial decisions could open up additional sources of value. Be sure to keep an eye on the MLB Headlines and Injuries desk.
We’ll focus on the six-game main slate tonight at 7:05pm ET.
Trevor Cahill – Padres (at Rockies) – Yahoo: $29, DK: $5900, FD: $7000
Dylan Bundy and Lance Lynn are the chalky plays tonight. I wanted to suggest an incredibly spicy Luis Patino pivot at Coors Field, but there just aren’t enough points at stake. Cahill offers a comparable basement price tag with a lot more certainty. He’s up to a full pitch count and coming off an impressive performance against these same Diamondbacks. Recent studies have shown the 2020 baseball to be comparable to the 2018 version. Incidentally, Cahill was solid in 2018. He pitched to a luck neutral 3.76 ERA with 8.18 K/9. We probably shouldn’t expect quite that level of success this year, but something in that neighborhood is achievable.
Cahill is best used on DraftKings where he’s an affordable second pitcher.
There’s really no need to pivot catcher tonight – there’s no chalk. The best reason to consider down-ballot options is to save money. Stallings has more bat than the typical catcher in this price tier. He’s visiting a power friendly park and will have the platoon advantage against one of the weaker pitchers in the slate.
I usually avoid getting too caught up in promoting “hot” hitters, but it does seem like Walker is a groove right now. Since a four-hit game on August 21, he’s batting .480/.500/.840 over his last 30 plate appearances with two of his three home runs. Of course, only hitting three home runs in 132 plate appearances rates as a disappointment. Power takes several seasons to “stabilize” so it’s not unusual for someone like Walker to go through a drought or two. Regardless, Walker is putting the ball in play while batting either fourth or fifth in the lineup. While I suggested using Cahill, going in the other direction with a DBacks stack is a good idea too.
Luis Urias – Brewers (vs J.T. Brubaker) – Yahoo: $10, DK: $2800, FD: $2300
Urias is a cheap high floor, low ceiling play against a series of exploitable pitchers. He doesn’t have much punch in his bat, but he makes up for it with plate discipline, a high contact rate, and runs. He batted leadoff for the first time yesterday, going 2-for-5 with a double. This recommendation hinges on him remaining in this valuable lineup role. Otherwise, you might as well use an even cheaper Jose Peraza.
Anthony Rendon – Angels (vs Justice Sheffield) – Yahoo: $22, DK: $5300, FD: $3800
Rendon is shielded by Nolan Arenado and Manny Machado at Coors Field. The Angels big offseason addition is one of the steadiest performers in the league, offering a blend of high floor and contest-leading ceiling. Our Rotoworld Player Projections consider him to be about a point worse than Arenado and several points better than Machado. Rendon will have the platoon advantage. Over his brief career, Sheffield has struggled with right-handed hitters in a tiny sample.
Like Rendon, Bogaerts will go partially unnoticed due to Trevor Story and Fernando Tatis (also Trea Turner and Corey Seager). Bogaerts appears in 32 of the top 50 lineups according to our Rotoworld Optimizer. The Red Sox cleanup hitter has a favorable matchup against a homer prone pitcher and a mediocre bullpen. He projects to fill up the boxscore with a one-in-four chance to homer along with plenty of other ways to deliver points.
Christian Yelich – Brewers (vs J.T. Brubaker) – Yahoo: $19, DK: $5100, FD: $4200
There are two conflicting effects here which could influence Yelich’s rostership. The Coors game along with Mike Trout, Juan Soto, and Mookie Betts should leave Yelich as the least popular of the uber-elite outfielders. However, of these four non-Coors bats Yelich is by far the most affordable. It could go either way.
After seeming to break out of his funk a couple weeks ago, Yelich is once again mired in a week long slump. He’s hitting .105/.292/.158 over since last Saturday. His walk, strikeout, and swinging strike rates seem to be typical so I’m inclined to consider his .154 BABIP over the span to be ill-luck. He is hitting a lot of pulled ground balls which can explain low BABIPs.
After a slow start to the season, Hilliard is showing more life at the plate lately. He’s been rewarded with more regular play – in part because David Dahl is sidelined. Hilliard might have a strikeout problem. At sea level, he’s fanned in 42.9 percent of plate appearances. Like many a Rockie over the years, he’s done much better at home – a 19.2 percent strikeout rate. Bear in mind, those are built on tiny samples. Morejon is a southpaw who can be expected to throw between two and three innings. Hilliard should get at least three plate appearances against relievers. The San Diego bullpen is below average.